Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#205
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#221
Pace64.2#246
Improvement+1.1#126

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#247
Improvement-2.9#290

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#149
Improvement+4.0#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 92   @ LSU L 63-77 16%     0 - 1 -5.7 -8.8 +3.8
  Nov 12, 2012 65   @ Illinois St. L 72-100 12%     0 - 2 -17.1 -0.1 -15.6
  Nov 21, 2012 162   San Diego W 57-39 54%     1 - 2 +14.9 -13.2 +29.6
  Nov 24, 2012 47   @ Boise St. L 56-72 8%     1 - 3 -2.7 -11.6 +8.6
  Nov 28, 2012 89   Wyoming L 40-68 34%     1 - 4 -25.8 -26.8 -1.7
  Dec 01, 2012 81   @ Santa Clara W 83-80 OT 15%     2 - 4 +12.0 +5.6 +6.2
  Dec 06, 2012 28   @ San Diego St. L 70-84 6%     2 - 5 +1.6 +12.4 -11.8
  Dec 18, 2012 57   @ California L 59-68 10%     2 - 6 +2.7 -2.5 +4.6
  Dec 21, 2012 89   @ Wyoming L 40-56 16%     2 - 7 -7.4 -17.0 +5.6
  Dec 29, 2012 196   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 79-86 36%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -5.4 +9.9 -15.8
  Jan 03, 2013 135   UC Irvine W 74-71 46%     3 - 8 1 - 1 +1.9 +9.4 -7.1
  Jan 05, 2013 142   Long Beach St. L 70-77 48%     3 - 9 1 - 2 -8.6 -6.2 -2.4
  Jan 10, 2013 115   @ Pacific L 62-80 20%     3 - 10 1 - 3 -11.3 +0.2 -14.2
  Jan 12, 2013 199   @ UC Davis W 66-59 36%     4 - 10 2 - 3 +8.5 -0.6 +10.1
  Jan 19, 2013 132   Cal Poly W 83-81 2OT 45%     5 - 10 3 - 3 +1.1 -3.5 +4.4
  Jan 24, 2013 212   Cal St. Northridge L 69-75 64%     5 - 11 3 - 4 -11.8 -9.5 -2.3
  Jan 26, 2013 192   Hawaii L 73-78 59%     5 - 12 3 - 5 -9.5 +0.0 -9.8
  Jan 30, 2013 142   @ Long Beach St. L 55-57 25%     5 - 13 3 - 6 +2.8 -15.2 +18.0
  Feb 02, 2013 135   @ UC Irvine L 60-62 24%     5 - 14 3 - 7 +3.4 -2.5 +5.7
  Feb 07, 2013 199   UC Davis L 56-64 61%     5 - 15 3 - 8 -12.9 -21.2 +8.1
  Feb 09, 2013 115   Pacific W 66-53 41%     6 - 15 4 - 8 +13.3 -2.8 +17.1
  Feb 16, 2013 132   @ Cal Poly L 49-67 23%     6 - 16 4 - 9 -12.4 -17.8 +3.3
  Feb 20, 2013 291   @ UC Riverside L 45-54 61%     6 - 17 4 - 10 -14.1 -20.8 +5.7
  Feb 23, 2013 286   Sacramento St. L 50-51 81%     6 - 18 -12.2 -22.8 +10.5
  Feb 28, 2013 192   @ Hawaii L 66-70 35%     6 - 19 4 - 11 -2.0 -5.9 +3.8
  Mar 02, 2013 212   @ Cal St. Northridge W 83-74 39%     7 - 19 5 - 11 +9.7 +7.5 +2.2
  Mar 07, 2013 196   Cal St. Fullerton W 66-50 61%     8 - 19 6 - 11 +11.2 -3.8 +17.3
  Mar 09, 2013 291   UC Riverside W 56-46 81%     9 - 19 7 - 11 -1.6 -15.4 +14.3
  Mar 14, 2013 115   Pacific L 68-71 29%     9 - 20 +0.5 +2.9 -2.7
Projected Record 9.0 - 20.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%